This ‘tumblelog‘ has been developed as a response to an original narrative scenario - The End of the Blue Frontier. Its aim is to capture the latest information on the key themes and trends discussed in the scenario, namely, the future of ocean ecosystems & their food production capabilities.
It is intended primarily to offer a means of ongoing environmental scanning to help build awareness over time of the issues involved; both current and emergent. It has not necessarily been designed as a means to update or alter the original scenario - though I’d like to work towards that.
The original scenario was written as a ‘one pass’ after a high-level review of environmental and sustainability issues. It was intended to work in conjunction with both its original brief as well as offer a specific, normative interpretation of a particular and singular future.
To the extent we could agree on a ‘right’ methodology for scenario creation, this particular version has not been developed after either lengthy or formal analysis of the key drivers and trends involved. Nor have a number of additional, variant scenarios been produced to provide alternative depth & counterpoints to its content. As we go forward I would seek to redress that, as well as ensure the original is subjected to an appropriate level of falsification and redevelopment where necessary.
I accept that there are many constituent and related ‘parts’ to any ecosystem. It may be the original focus of the ‘ocean’ becomes either too diverse or unwieldy to work meaningfully with. As such, the focus of the tumblelog may change over time.
Lastly, I am not a domain specialist. I am simply someone who is really quite fearful of what I believe to be the level of damage being done to a core constituent of our global ecosystem. Combined with a lifelong love of the sea - both physical and culinary - I’m seeking to increase my own personal understanding as well as broaden my overall perspectives across this area.
I would welcome companions either as eager or more learned.
Guy Yeomans | Summer 2008
